Abstract
Since the Arab Spring occurred in the end of 2010, Middle East and North Africa (MENA) regions have drawn attentions from international society because of turbulent domestic events. Some nations in this area have leaders who stay in office for a very long time (e.g. Libya and Egypt), and some nations suffer from slow economic development (e.g. Algeria). Therefore, this study tries to review the previous studies on the civil war, focusing on political and economic determinants, to examine if political institution and economic development affect the onset of internal conflict in the region. The results show an inverted U-shape relationship between democracy and the onset of conflicts. Autocracy is proven to be the most chaotic regime. However, the likelihood of conflict is decreasing as economy develops. In addition, the author investigates two regional factors-natural resources and conflict contagion in this study-and finds significant relationships. In this study, data are time-series and cross-sectional (TSCS), including MENA countries from 1946 to 2011, while The General Estimating Equation (GEE) are applied as the econometric model.
| Translated title of the contribution | The Causes of Civil Conflict in the Middle East and North African Regions |
|---|---|
| Original language | Chinese (Traditional) |
| Pages (from-to) | 61-86 |
| Number of pages | 26 |
| Journal | 問題與研究 ＝ Issues & Studies (TSSCI) |
| Volume | 53 |
| Issue number | 3 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 2014 Sept 1 |
