Abstract
Production cost (PC) and reliability of generation system can be evaluated by probabilistic production simulation. The derivatives of PC and reliability refer to the changes of simulation results due to marginal variation of a specific system parameter, which may be an hourly load level, or the unit capacity (UC) or forced outage rate (FOR) of a generating unit. A recursive computational procedure derived from the cumulant method for efficiently calculating these derivatives is proposed. The procedure is applicable to the derivatives with respect to load, UC or FOR. Moreover, the procedure could handle any number of cumulants without additional theoretical development or software implementation effort. The general accuracy of this procedure and three applications are presented.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 358-367 |
Number of pages | 10 |
Journal | IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion |
Volume | 4 |
Issue number | 3 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 1989 Sept |
All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes
- Energy Engineering and Power Technology
- Electrical and Electronic Engineering