TY - JOUR
T1 - A retrospective analysis of injury cases for visitor risk management in a nature-based touristic destination
AU - Ramanpong, Jittakon
AU - Wu, Chih Da
AU - Yu, Chia Pin
AU - Tsai, Ming Jer
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2021 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
PY - 2021
Y1 - 2021
N2 - Outdoors organization is necessary in order to learn from prior experiences so as to create a proactive visitor risk management approach. Using retrospective analysis, this paper presents the epidemiology of visitor injuries at a forest recreation area in Taiwan. This article estimates that the injury rates occurred by weather and topographical factors using Poisson and negative binomial (NB) regression models, because the data characteristics in the current study are discrete and non-negative values. Weather variables, such as average temperature, relative humidity, and rain condition, have a positive relationship with visitor injury rate, which model selection criteria and goodness−of−fit showed to be the best fit for the NB model. The effects of topographic factors, namely average elevation and average slope of injury locations, are insignificant for visitor injury rate. Our finding confirms injury rates in nature are associated with weather, especially the appearance of rain. Each of these offers empirical evidence for future injury prevention programmes and for the proper perception of injury risk.
AB - Outdoors organization is necessary in order to learn from prior experiences so as to create a proactive visitor risk management approach. Using retrospective analysis, this paper presents the epidemiology of visitor injuries at a forest recreation area in Taiwan. This article estimates that the injury rates occurred by weather and topographical factors using Poisson and negative binomial (NB) regression models, because the data characteristics in the current study are discrete and non-negative values. Weather variables, such as average temperature, relative humidity, and rain condition, have a positive relationship with visitor injury rate, which model selection criteria and goodness−of−fit showed to be the best fit for the NB model. The effects of topographic factors, namely average elevation and average slope of injury locations, are insignificant for visitor injury rate. Our finding confirms injury rates in nature are associated with weather, especially the appearance of rain. Each of these offers empirical evidence for future injury prevention programmes and for the proper perception of injury risk.
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U2 - 10.1080/13683500.2021.1902286
DO - 10.1080/13683500.2021.1902286
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85102917308
SN - 1368-3500
VL - 24
SP - 3552
EP - 3568
JO - Current Issues in Tourism
JF - Current Issues in Tourism
IS - 24
ER -