Forecasting space-time land use change in the paochiao watershed of Taiwan using demand estimation and empirical simulation approaches

Hone-Jay Chu, Yu Pin Lin, Chen Fa Wu

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

6 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This study applies two empirical approaches such as logistic regression, and artificial network (ANN) to combine Conversion of Land Use and its Effects (CLUE-s) model to predict urban sprawl in the Paochiao watershed in Taipei County, Taiwan. The current investigation projected land-use dynamics for the next twenty years using demand prediction models such as the Markov chain and cellular automata model. Accordingly, the empirical models integrating with CLUE-s then simulated land-use patterns for future periods based on the predicted demands. Results show that land-use patterns predicted by the model tended to fragment and intersperse future patterns. The predicted land-use patterns have significant impact on urban sprawl in the Paochiao watershed. The study is an effective means of enhancing land-use monitoring and managing urbanized watersheds.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationComputational Science and Its Applications - ICCSA 2010 - International Conference, Proceedings
Pages116-130
Number of pages15
EditionPART 1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2010 May 20
Event2010 International Conference on Computational Science and Its Applications, ICCSA 2010 - Fukuoka, Japan
Duration: 2010 Mar 232010 Mar 26

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
NumberPART 1
Volume6016 LNCS
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349

Other

Other2010 International Conference on Computational Science and Its Applications, ICCSA 2010
CountryJapan
CityFukuoka
Period10-03-2310-03-26

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Theoretical Computer Science
  • Computer Science(all)

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    Chu, H-J., Lin, Y. P., & Wu, C. F. (2010). Forecasting space-time land use change in the paochiao watershed of Taiwan using demand estimation and empirical simulation approaches. In Computational Science and Its Applications - ICCSA 2010 - International Conference, Proceedings (PART 1 ed., pp. 116-130). (Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics); Vol. 6016 LNCS, No. PART 1). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-12156-2-9