The effects of economic policy uncertainty on outward foreign direct investment

Hui-Ching Sana Hsieh, Sofia Boarelli, Thi Huyen Chi Vu

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

This research article aims to analyze the impact that economic policy uncertainty has on foreign direct investment (FDI), which has long remained elusive due to the challenge of thoroughly and accurately quantifying uncertainty. For this purpose, the recently developed Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (EPU Index) is used as a measure of economic policy uncertainty for both the U.S. and a panel of twenty U.S. Direct Investment Abroad (USDIA) host countries. The results demonstrate a strong causal link between the level of economy policy uncertainty and U.S. outward FDI flow. Outward FDI is found to peak three quarters after a shock in the domestic EPU Index, and to decrease two quarters after a shock in the host country's EPU Index. Our findings indicate the relevance of economic policy uncertainty for the investment decisions of multinational enterprises (MNEs) in the U.S., and show that it could represent a tool policy makers could use to forecast and monitor changes in foreign direct flow.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)377-392
Number of pages16
JournalInternational Review of Economics and Finance
Volume64
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2019 Nov 1

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Economic policy
Policy uncertainty
Outward foreign direct investment
Host country
Investment decision
Direct investment
Foreign direct investment
Uncertainty
Politicians
Multinational enterprises

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics

Cite this

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The effects of economic policy uncertainty on outward foreign direct investment. / Hsieh, Hui-Ching Sana; Boarelli, Sofia; Vu, Thi Huyen Chi.

In: International Review of Economics and Finance, Vol. 64, 01.11.2019, p. 377-392.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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