The study of pavement performance index forecasting via improving grey model

Ziping Chiang, Dar Ying Jan, Hsueh Sheng Chang

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper proposed a time series forecasting approach based on improving grey model (IGM). This method is based on fitting difference equation and yields better predictive result than the traditional one, and is demonstrated by forecasting pavement performance index as international roughness index. The results show that this approach can minimizes the error based on the traditional grey model, adaptive α, and grey rolling model with 19.4%, 17.7%, and 9.5%.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationAdvanced Intelligent Computing Theories and Applications
Subtitle of host publicationWith Aspects of Artificial Intelligence - Third International Conference on Intelligent Computing, ICIC 2007, Proceedings
PublisherSpringer Verlag
Pages309-314
Number of pages6
ISBN (Print)9783540742012
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2007 Jan 1
Event3rd International Conference on Intelligent Computing, ICIC 2007 - Qingdao, China
Duration: 2007 Aug 212007 Aug 24

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
Volume4682 LNAI
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349

Other

Other3rd International Conference on Intelligent Computing, ICIC 2007
Country/TerritoryChina
CityQingdao
Period07-08-2107-08-24

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Theoretical Computer Science
  • General Computer Science

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