A predictive model of the freight rate of the international market in capesize dry bulk carriers

Ching Chih Chang, Chin Yuan Hsieh, Yung Chih Lin

研究成果: Article同行評審

2 引文 斯高帕斯(Scopus)

摘要

This study examines the considerable fluctuations of the world's dry bulk shipping market from November 1995 to September 2008. The major objective is to provide a forecasting model for the freight rate in relation to the second-hand ship price. The results indicate an acceptable level of prediction according to Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), with a value no more than 20%. It is anticipated that this research will prove germane to major stakeholders, including owners, charters, investors and bankers, by forecasting the freight rate and thereby expediting the decisionmaking process.

原文English
頁(從 - 到)313-317
頁數5
期刊Applied Economics Letters
19
發行號4
DOIs
出版狀態Published - 2012 三月 1

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • 經濟學與計量經濟學

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