An enhanced deterministic fuzzy time series forecasting model

Sheng Tun Li, Yi Chung Cheng

研究成果: Article同行評審

15 引文 斯高帕斯(Scopus)

摘要

The study of fuzzy time series has attracted great interest and is expected to expand rapidly. Various forecasting models including high-order models have been proposed to improve forecasting accuracy or reducing computational cost. However, there exist two important issues, namely, rule redundancy and high-order redundancy that have not yet been investigated. This article proposes a novel forecasting model to tackle such issues. It overcomes the major hurdle of determining the k-order in high-order models and is enhanced to allow the handling of multi-factor forecasting problems by removing the overhead of deriving all fuzzy logic relationships beforehand. Two novel performance evaluation metrics are also formally derived for comparing performances of related forecasting models. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed forecasting model outperforms the existing models in efficiency.

原文English
頁(從 - 到)211-235
頁數25
期刊Cybernetics and Systems
40
發行號3
DOIs
出版狀態Published - 2009 四月 1

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Software
  • Information Systems
  • Artificial Intelligence

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