以Budyko 曲線分解法與氣候彈性法探討濁水溪沖積扇逕流量改變原因之研究

Hsin Yu Chen, Hsin Fu Yeh

研究成果: Article同行評審

摘要

Two primary factors that alter the hydrological cycle are climate change and anthropogenic activity. Runoff is a component of the hydrological cycle as well as a measure of sustainable water availability. Therefore, assessing runoff variation has become a research topic of interest. In this study, we first used statistical nonparametric methods to analyze the runoff trend and change points during 1980-2018 for the Zhuoshui Alluvial Fan. We then quantified the effects of runoff variation by decomposing the Budyko curve and using climate elasticity methods, which are used in attribution analysis. We used the most applicable Budyko model for the Zhuoshui Alluvial Fan, and the results indicated that the runoff series significantly changed in 2003. We determined that the main reason for the runoff variation was climate change and that the change in runoff was most sensitive to changes in precipitation. Finally, the modeling results were consistent with the observation of decreased vegetation coverage after 2003. The results of this study are expected to serve as a reference for water resource and land use management in the area covered by the Zhuoshui Alluvial Fan.

貢獻的翻譯標題Evaluating Runoff Variation in the Zhuoshui Alluvial Fan Through the Decomposition of the Budyko Curve and Use of Climate Elasticity Methods
原文???core.languages.zh_TW???
頁(從 - 到)89-99
頁數11
期刊Journal of Chinese Soil and Water Conservation
52
發行號2
DOIs
出版狀態Published - 2021 三月

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • 水科學與技術
  • 岩土工程與工程地質
  • 土壤科學
  • 地表過程

指紋

深入研究「以Budyko 曲線分解法與氣候彈性法探討濁水溪沖積扇逕流量改變原因之研究」主題。共同形成了獨特的指紋。

引用此