TY - JOUR
T1 - External validation of geriatric influenza death score
T2 - A multicenter study
AU - Kao, Yuan
AU - Lee, Wei Jing
AU - Tsai, Kang Ting
AU - Liu, Chung Feng
AU - Hsu, Chien Chin
AU - Lin, Hung Jung
AU - Huang, Chien Cheng
AU - Guo, How Ran
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 Kao et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
PY - 2023/3
Y1 - 2023/3
N2 - The Geriatric Influenza Death (GID) score was developed to help decision making in older patients with influenza in the emergency department (ED), but external validation is unavailable. Thus, we conducted a study was to fill the data gap. We recruited all older patients (≥65 years) who visited the ED of three hospitals between 2009 and 2018. Demographic data and clinical characteristics were retrospectively collected. Discrimination, goodness of fit, and performance of the GID score were evaluated. Of the 5,508 patients (121 died) with influenza, the mean age was 76.6±7.4 (standard deviation) years, and 49.3% were males. The GID score was higher in the mortality group (1.7±1.1 vs. 0.8±0.8, p <0.01). With 0 as the reference, the odds ratio for morality with score of 1, 2 and ≥3 was 3.08 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.66-5.71), 6.69 (95% CI: 3.52-12.71), and 23.68 (95% CI: 11.95-46.93), respectively. The area under the curve was 0.722 (95% CI: 0.677-0.766), and the Hosmer- Lemeshow goodness of fit test was 1.000. The GID score had excellent negative predictive values with different cut-offs. The GID score had good external validity, and further studies are warranted for wider application.
AB - The Geriatric Influenza Death (GID) score was developed to help decision making in older patients with influenza in the emergency department (ED), but external validation is unavailable. Thus, we conducted a study was to fill the data gap. We recruited all older patients (≥65 years) who visited the ED of three hospitals between 2009 and 2018. Demographic data and clinical characteristics were retrospectively collected. Discrimination, goodness of fit, and performance of the GID score were evaluated. Of the 5,508 patients (121 died) with influenza, the mean age was 76.6±7.4 (standard deviation) years, and 49.3% were males. The GID score was higher in the mortality group (1.7±1.1 vs. 0.8±0.8, p <0.01). With 0 as the reference, the odds ratio for morality with score of 1, 2 and ≥3 was 3.08 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.66-5.71), 6.69 (95% CI: 3.52-12.71), and 23.68 (95% CI: 11.95-46.93), respectively. The area under the curve was 0.722 (95% CI: 0.677-0.766), and the Hosmer- Lemeshow goodness of fit test was 1.000. The GID score had excellent negative predictive values with different cut-offs. The GID score had good external validity, and further studies are warranted for wider application.
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U2 - 10.1371/journal.pone.0283475
DO - 10.1371/journal.pone.0283475
M3 - Article
C2 - 36961810
AN - SCOPUS:85150821811
SN - 1932-6203
VL - 18
JO - PloS one
JF - PloS one
IS - 3 March
M1 - e0283475
ER -