Information content of credit ratings in pricing of future earnings

研究成果: Article同行評審

8 引文 斯高帕斯(Scopus)

摘要

This paper examines whether credit ratings convey information about the firm's future earnings to the capital markets. Using the future earnings response coefficient methodology, we find that the current stock returns of rated firms reflect more future earnings than do the stock returns of non-rated firms. We also find that the market reflect more future earnings in current returns for higher-rated firms. In addition, we present evidence that returns impound future earnings to a greater extent after a ratings initiation or upgrade. We empirically eliminate the possibility that our findings are driven by earnings smoothing, market liquidity or omitted default risk factors associated with ratings. Our results are robust to controlling for potential omitted variables, endogeneity bias, loss versus profit firms, and serial correlation of error terms. Overall, the evidence suggests that credit ratings help disseminate private information to reduce information uncertainty about the firm's future profitability among market participants.

原文English
頁(從 - 到)217-250
頁數34
期刊Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting
40
發行號2
DOIs
出版狀態Published - 2013 二月

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Accounting
  • Business, Management and Accounting(all)
  • Finance

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