Power system yearly peak load forecasting: a grey system modeling approach

Hong Tzer Yang, Tian Chyi Liang, Kuang Rong Shih, Ching Lien Huang

研究成果: Paper同行評審

15 引文 斯高帕斯(Scopus)

摘要

Applications of grey system modeling techniques to predict power system yearly peak loads and their occurring dates are described in this paper. For yearly peak load forecasting, a new hybrid grey model of GM(1,1) in conjunction with GM(1,2) is proposed. Corresponding dates on which the peak loads occur are predicted by using the topological forecasting method. Complying with the characteristics of minimal historical yearly peak load records (only one peak load value for a year), the grey system techniques used in this paper just feature that a small amount of historical data (3 to 7 points of data) are required to set up a high forecasting-accuracy model. Effectiveness of the developed models has been demonstrated through predicting the actual Taiwan Power (Taipower) yearly peak loads and the occurring dates.

原文English
頁面261-266
頁數6
出版狀態Published - 1995 十二月 1
事件Proceedings of the 1995 International Conference on Energy Management and Power Delivery, EMPD'95. Part 1 (of 2) - Singapore, Singapore
持續時間: 1995 十一月 211995 十一月 23

Other

OtherProceedings of the 1995 International Conference on Energy Management and Power Delivery, EMPD'95. Part 1 (of 2)
城市Singapore, Singapore
期間95-11-2195-11-23

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • 能源(全部)
  • 工程 (全部)

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