TY - GEN

T1 - Risk assessment for hydraulic design associated with the uncertainty of rainfall

AU - Wang, C. M.

AU - Shieh, C. L.

PY - 2009/12/1

Y1 - 2009/12/1

N2 - The purpose of this paper is to propose a method that incorporates the uncertainties of the depth and the duration of rainfall into the risk assessment for hydraulic design. In this paper, the risk of a hydraulic system is defined as the probability of failure of the hydrological system. The Hasofer-Lind reliability index (HLRI), which is a popular index for risk assessment, is used to improve the computation efficiency. The evaluation of the HLRI can be transformed into a constrained optimization problem. To solve the constrained optimization problem, modified simple genetic algorithms (SGA), which combine the penalty function and the constraint handling technique proposed by Deb (2000), is developed. The proposed method can produce the relation of the probability of failure versus the central safety factor. Based on the relation, a comprehensive benefit-cost analysis can be performed. The optimal alternative can be selected according to the result of the benefit-cost analysis. The proposed method provides an aid for performing the benefit-cost analysis.

AB - The purpose of this paper is to propose a method that incorporates the uncertainties of the depth and the duration of rainfall into the risk assessment for hydraulic design. In this paper, the risk of a hydraulic system is defined as the probability of failure of the hydrological system. The Hasofer-Lind reliability index (HLRI), which is a popular index for risk assessment, is used to improve the computation efficiency. The evaluation of the HLRI can be transformed into a constrained optimization problem. To solve the constrained optimization problem, modified simple genetic algorithms (SGA), which combine the penalty function and the constraint handling technique proposed by Deb (2000), is developed. The proposed method can produce the relation of the probability of failure versus the central safety factor. Based on the relation, a comprehensive benefit-cost analysis can be performed. The optimal alternative can be selected according to the result of the benefit-cost analysis. The proposed method provides an aid for performing the benefit-cost analysis.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84859809772&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84859809772&partnerID=8YFLogxK

M3 - Conference contribution

AN - SCOPUS:84859809772

SN - 9780415804820

T3 - Prediction and Simulation Methods for Geohazard Mitigation - Proceedings of the International Symposium on Prediction and Simulation Methods for Geohazard Mitigation, IS-KYOTO 2009

SP - 507

EP - 512

BT - Prediction and Simulation Methods for Geohazard Mitigation - Proceedings of the International Symposium on Prediction and Simulation Methods for Geohazard Mitigation, IS-KYOTO 2009

T2 - International Symposium on Prediction and Simulation Methods for Geohazard Mitigation, IS-KYOTO 2009

Y2 - 25 May 2009 through 27 May 2009

ER -