Trend Definition or Holding Strategy: What Determines the Profitability of Candlestick Charting?

Tsung Hsun Lu, Yi Chi Chen, Yu Chin Hsu

研究成果: Article同行評審

12 引文 斯高帕斯(Scopus)

摘要

We ask what determines the profitability of candlestick trading strategies. Is it the definition of trend and/or the holding strategy that one uses in candlestick charting analysis? To answer this, we systematically consider three definitions of trend and four holding strategies. Applying candlestick trading strategies to the DJIA component data, we find that regardless of which definition of trend is used, eight three-day reversal patterns with a Caginalp-Laurent holding strategy are profitable when we set the transaction cost at 0.5% and after we account for data-snooping bias, while the patterns with a Marshall-Young-Rose holding strategy are not profitable. For sensitivity analysis, we also find that our results are not qualitatively changed on a lower transaction cost of 0.1%, or when we conduct the subsample analyses based on three equal periods and three distinct market conditions. When considering a more volatile market, evidence in favor of candlestick trading strategies is strengthened.

原文English
頁(從 - 到)172-183
頁數12
期刊Journal of Banking and Finance
61
DOIs
出版狀態Published - 2015 十二月 1

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics

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